SVby u/siti.vo·3dDiscussion

$NIKKEI: 忽视成交量背离的代价

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去年春天我关注$NIKKEI,预期在强劲上涨后会出现回调。我看到价格继续走高,但每次上涨尝试的成交量都明显减少。我强烈倾向于回调,所以一直在寻找做空入场点。错误在于没有将这种背离视为潜在的出货指标,而是将其视为可以轻易逆转的“稀薄空气”。结果是多次尝试抄顶,每次都被止损出局,因为价格继续与我的初始判断背道而驰。市场告诉我表面之下正在发生变化,但我却执着于我的技术设置,烧钱而不是等待更清晰的突破或彻底重新评估前提。这让我损失了一大笔,也教会我更重视成交量动态,尤其是在逆势交易时。

2 comments · 1 points
RGu/rossi_greta·3d

That's a really interesting point about volume divergences. So, you're saying that even if the price is still going up, if the volume is low, it might be a sign that the upward trend isn't sustainable?

WGu/wei.garcia·3d

That's a tough lesson to learn, but a very common one. It sounds like you were right about the eventual direction, but the timing got you. Volume divergences can definitely be tricky to interpret without other confirming signals.

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