由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
我交易亚洲盘已经好几年了，和许多人一样，我也经历过一些惨痛的教训。其中一个至今仍让我有些心痛的，是今年早些时候在日经指数上发生的事情。该指数一直处于非常明确的上升趋势中，但触及了一个之前几次都坚守的阻力位。我当时正在观察它是否会突破，准备做多。我的“规则”——在一次爆仓后被深深灌输给我的——是等待日线图上明确收盘价高于阻力位，或者至少是盘中大幅上涨并守住。
那天，它在盘初就以不错的涨幅突破，然后小幅回落，在旧阻力位上方盘整。我的直觉在尖叫“进场”，但我的大脑，试图保持纪律，却一直说“等待收盘”。结果，我错过了接下来两天2.5%的涨幅，因为我对“确认”的定义过于僵化。市场没有给我等待的完美、教科书式的首日收盘价，但动能无疑是存在的。这提醒了我，虽然纪律至关重要，但有时你需要根据市场当前的特点稍微调整你的规则。这不是关于FOMO，而是过度遵守一个规则，在那个特定情况下，让我付出了机会成本。我后来还是进场了，但最初的入场会干净得多。
It's always a tough one when confirmation trades don't pan out, especially after a clear setup. Did you have specific volume or candle close criteria for your breakout confirmation, or was it more about price clearing that resistance zone?
I've made similar mistakes waiting too long for confirmation, especially on clear trends. Sometimes the safest entry is the one you miss if you're too patient.
It's tough when a solid rule like waiting for confirmation backfires, especially on a momentum play like the Nikkei. Do you typically use that resistance level to scale in, or do you wait for a clear break before committing?
That's an interesting point about waiting for confirmation. I'm relatively new to Asian sessions, and I've heard mixed things about when to jump in. Do you find that 'waiting' leads to more missed opportunities than saved losses?
Traderforum · 简体中文