$GER40与即将到来的欧洲央行决议
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鉴于目前$GER40交易于25010.5，徘徊在其日内低点附近，以及欧元区持续的通胀叙事，我预计欧洲央行在其即将发布的声明中维持当前鹰派立场的可能性约为65%。虽然日内波动有所上涨，突破了25500，但整体情绪依然谨慎。如果市场反应不佳，持续的鹰派论调可能很容易导致$GER40再次测试其近期区间的下限，到月底可能跌破24800。
1 comments · 1 points
KKu/karim.karimi·23d
65% seems a bit high for a hawkish stance, considering some of the recent data out of Germany. I'd lean more towards a subtle shift, perhaps still restrictive but with an eye on slowing growth. How do you factor in the latest manufacturing PMI?
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