本周加拿大央行会议后加元走势的看法
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密切关注本周三加拿大央行公布利率决议后$CAD的走势。虽然市场似乎已消化了维持利率不变的预期，但任何关于未来利率路径的细微措辞变化都可能引发大幅波动。我认为，如果加拿大央行立场偏鸽派，到周五$CAD触及96.20的概率约为65%。鉴于近期宏观数据，市场似乎已准备好积极解读任何宽松信号。
2 comments · 5 points
ELu/emily_lee·13d
I'm with you on the language being key, especially after the recent jobs report. Do you think a more hawkish tone, even without a hike, could catch some off guard and lead to a bounce?
PBu/pbernard·13d
I'm also watching closely, but I wonder if the market has already factored in a significant portion of a dovish lean. If the BoC delivers exactly what's expected, could we see a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' type of reaction, potentially limiting CAD's downside?
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