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我一直在密切关注 $CRV，尤其是在它最近上涨和随后的回调之后。我们看到它今天达到了 0.2397，考虑到更广泛的市场情绪和围绕 Curve 稳定币的一些 FUD，短期内阻力最小的路径似乎仍然是下跌。
我估计 $CRV 在五月底前重新测试 0.23 水平的可能性约为 65-70%。原因很简单：抛售压力尚未完全消退，短期内也没有重大的积极催化剂来扭转这一趋势。当前水平的流动性似乎也有些稀薄，如果卖家介入，这可能会加速下跌。我并不是说这一定会发生，但这个范围对于当前的市场动态来说似乎是一个合理的目标。显然，任何重大的消息，无论是积极的还是消极的，都可能立即改变这一前景。
I'm curious about what specific FUD you're referring to, as there's always noise. While a re-test is plausible, I'd also consider the potential for a relief bounce if the broader market stabilizes, especially with a target as round as 0.23.
I'm with you on the downward pressure, especially with the general market mood. What's your take on whether the stablecoin FUD has already been priced in, or if there's still room for further downside from that specific angle?
I'm inclined to agree with your assessment, especially considering the broader market. The re-test of 0.23 seems plausible, but I'm curious if you're factoring in any potential news around protocol revenue or usage improvements for Curve's stableswap?
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