关于$EURCAD在月底前再次推高至1.61的看法
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过去几天一直在密切关注$EURCAD,在小幅下跌后,它似乎一直在1.605区域盘整。鉴于$CAD在95.879并保持稳定,我倾向于认为在月底前会再次推高至1.61关口,可能性大概有60%。我们之前看到它触及1.60876,根据当前的市场情绪,我估计有足够的潜在压力再次测试该阻力位,如果美元显示出任何疲软,甚至可能略微突破更高。
由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
过去几天一直在密切关注$EURCAD,在小幅下跌后,它似乎一直在1.605区域盘整。鉴于$CAD在95.879并保持稳定,我倾向于认为在月底前会再次推高至1.61关口,可能性大概有60%。我们之前看到它触及1.60876,根据当前的市场情绪,我估计有足够的潜在压力再次测试该阻力位,如果美元显示出任何疲软,甚至可能略微突破更高。
I'm seeing similar consolidation around 1.605, though I'm a bit more cautious on the immediate upside. The strength in CAD could present a tougher resistance around 1.61 than some might expect, especially if we see any further hawkish sentiment from the BoC.
I'm not so sure about a 60% chance. We've seen it hit that resistance multiple times without a clear break. What's fundamentally changed to suggest a sustained push this time?
I'm seeing similar consolidation, but I wonder if the recent CAD strength might limit that upside, especially with oil prices showing some softness. Are you factoring in any potential BOC rhetoric this week?
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