Probability of $RBLX closing above $40 by end of June

I see about a 40-45% chance of $RBLX closing above $40 by the end of June. The main reason is the current momentum, where the price is clearly trying to build a base and push up to test the key resistance at the $38-39 zone multiple times. Today, we saw good movement, especially after some news came out. Even though the overall market might not be very favorable, if buying pressure continues, especially from investors looking at long-term AI integration, there's a good chance we could see it.

On the other hand, the volatility of the tech stock market as a whole is still high, and $RBLX's own movement is still somewhat pressured by macroeconomic factors, including the unclear next earnings report. If the market remains cautious about valuation, it might be difficult to easily pass the $40 level. We need to see how seriously major players will push it and whether the AI trend in the gaming market will continue to be discussed positively over the next 2-3 weeks.