On Risk-Reward: Because Even a Blind Squirrel Needs a Nut
We've all heard the mantra: 'Cut your losers, let your winners run.' Sounds simple, doesn't it? Yet, I still see folks chasing $SI down from its recent 21.32 highs, hoping for a bounce, without a clear idea of where they'll bail if it keeps diving past 19.52. That, my friends, is trading without a defined risk-reward. Before you even think about hitting 'buy' or 'sell,' you must know your potential loss (risk) versus your potential gain (reward).
Think about it: if you're risking $1 to make $0.50, you need to be right more than 66% of the time just to break even. Conversely, if you're risking $1 to make $2 or $3, you can be wrong more often and still come out ahead. It's not about being right every time; it's about making sure your winning trades compensate for your losing ones. Otherwise, you're just gambling with extra steps, watching your account dwindle like $USDX volume on a Tuesday afternoon.
This is something I'm still trying to get my head around. How do you actually decide on a good risk-reward ratio for a trade? Is it just a flat 1:2, or does it depend on the stock and your strategy?