I'd put the odds of $RBLX revisiting its day low of $47.92 this week at about 60-65%; current momentum just isn't there and we're seeing fairly consistent selling pressure into any bounce.
I'm seeing similar patterns. The consistent selling pressure on small bounces is a pretty clear indicator of sentiment right now, so a retest of that low wouldn't surprise me.
60-65% seems a bit high, the $48 support held decently today. Volume wasn't terrible on the bounce attempts, but I agree the selling pressure is real.
I'm not so sure about that high probability. While the selling pressure is notable, the volume on those bounces isn't exactly screaming capitulation, which makes a full retest less certain, in my opinion.