Probability on $CL breaking 68 this week

Watching $CL today, currently at 69.23, after that decent dump. The 68 handle has acted as pretty strong support on a few occasions recently. With the session low already at 68.56 and that -3.74% hit, there's clear selling pressure. But it’s not exactly falling off a cliff; sellers are working it down. I’d put the odds of seeing 67.99 before Friday's close at around 60%. My reasoning is that the daily range (68.56–71.86) has already chewed through a good chunk of the easy movement, and if demand doesn't step in hard at 68.50-68.60, it'll likely test lower. It’s not a conviction call, but the path of least resistance feels slightly down, especially if broader market sentiment wavers. Not advice, just my take.