Predicting if $VNM drops below 17.00 by EOD tomorrow

Been watching $VNM pretty closely today. It's sitting at 17.16 right now after a decent pullback. The daily range has been 17.14–17.255, so it dipped just below its current price already. Considering the overall market sentiment feels a bit soft, and that intraday low just touched 17.14, I'd put the odds of seeing it drop below 17.00 by the end of tomorrow's session at around 65-70%. It feels like there's some underlying pressure, and if the broader market continues to consolidate or retrace, $VNM looks like it could easily follow suit and tag that psychological 17.00 level. Curious what others are thinking.