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MNby u/marie_n·6dDiscussion

KWEB's recent pop, thinking about China data

Watching $KWEB push 29.1 today. Seems like some folks are anticipating better-than-expected industrial production or retail sales data out of China this week. Polymarket's markets on China's GDP growth for Q1 are starting to tick up a bit, which usually coincides with a stronger outlook for these tech names. The sector's been beaten up, but any hint of a turn in the macro numbers could give it a sustained bump.

Still cautious, but adding some KWEB-related events to my watchlist to see if the sentiment holds. The resolution on whether China's major indices break out of their range for April could be telling.

2 comments · 10 points

2 Comments

DAu/david84·6d

Ah, the ol' "China data lottery." It's like trying to predict the weather in a room full of people with different opinions on what a cloud actually is. Still, a pop is a pop, even if it's based on the flimsiest of whispers about industrial production.

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FLu/fernandez_lucas·6d

It's interesting to see that Polymarket correlation. The Q1 GDP consensus has been so low, any positive surprise in IP or retail could definitely move the needle for these beaten-down names.

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