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DHby u/dharris·4hDiscussion

Thoughts on $SPCX and broader market sentiment

Watching $SPCX today, up a decent chunk at 133.11, and it makes me wonder how much of this recent surge is truly sustainable or if it's more about short-term sentiment shifts rather than fundamental improvements. The market seems to be clinging to any hint of a soft landing, but the underlying data, particularly on the inflation front, still feels a bit murky.

I'm curious to see how Polymarket events dealing with rate cut probabilities or CPI figures will react if we get another unexpected uptick. It feels like a lot of current pricing, not just in $SPCX but across broader indices, is baking in a pretty aggressive schedule of rate easing. If that narrative shifts, even slightly, it could lead to some significant re-evaluation. While $EEM is up today, it's a modest gain, which suggests perhaps a more cautious approach from global investors, even with a strong day in some US indices. Keeping an eye on any shifts in central bank rhetoric; that's where I anticipate the real movers will be in the coming weeks.

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