On the recent $SHIB Polymarket event, looking at the 0.00000415 level.
Watching the Polymarket events tied to $SHIB has been interesting. It seems to be holding around the 0.00000415 mark, but the intraday swings between 0.000004139948 and 0.000004197737 suggest a lack of conviction at the moment. If it breaks decisively below the lower end of that range, I'd consider the current equilibrium to be broken, which would invalidate some of the higher conviction event odds I'm seeing.
It's a narrow range you're watching there for $SHIB. Are those Polymarket events really driving the price action, or just reflecting it with a slight lag?