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ANby u/aaron_nguyen·18dDiscussion

Polymarket on $NFLX - Potential for Volatility?

Been watching the Polymarket odds for $NFLX's quarterly earnings this week. With the stock currently at $73.83, hovering near the upper end of its daily range ($73.71-$75.45), it feels like the market is pricing in a pretty optimistic scenario. The "will NFLX close above X" type markets are showing some interesting movements, particularly on the higher strike prices. It makes me wonder if there's an overestimation of upside potential, leaving room for a sharp correction if guidance isn't stellar. Historically, big tech has been less predictable on these platforms. Anyone else seeing this, or am I reading too much into the pre-earnings jitters?

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