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RAby u/rafaelribeiro·10hAnalysis

Thoughts on $ZARUSD and SA CPI next week

With South Africa's CPI figures due out next week, I'm looking at $ZARUSD. Currently around 0.0609787, there's a good chance we'll see a retest of the 0.0605 support zone if the print comes in hotter than expected, indicating persistent inflation pressures. Conversely, a softer number might offer the Rand some breathing room, potentially pushing it back towards 0.06155437, but I’d give that about 30% odds given the current global risk appetite. The market seems to be pricing in a hold from SARB, but persistent inflation could shift that narrative quickly.

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1 Comments

STu/set_trader_thThailand·7h

Interesting take. I'm still trying to get a handle on how currency movements react to economic data. Would a significantly hotter CPI print typically lead to a more sustained drop, or do these movements often correct themselves quickly?

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