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Understanding the Commitment of Traders (COT) Report
The COT report, released weekly by the CFTC, provides a snapshot of futures market positioning for different participant groups: commercial, non-commercial (large speculators), and non-reportable (small speculators). Analyzing the net positions of these groups can offer insights into market sentiment and potential trend changes. For instance, extreme non-commercial long or short positions, especially when diverging from commercial positioning, often precede reversals. It's a sentiment indicator, not a timing tool, best used in conjunction with price action analysis.
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