On the utility of lagging indicators for intraday forex
Been seeing a lot of folks in here, especially newer traders, relying heavily on various lagging indicators for their intraday forex setups. I get the appeal; they offer a seemingly clear-cut signal and can simplify a cluttered chart. But frankly, for anything less than a daily timeframe, I'm finding their real-world utility highly questionable.
Take something like the MACD or Stochastics on a 15-minute chart. By the time they've confirmed a crossover or entered an 'overbought/oversold' zone, the move you're trying to capture is often already well underway, if not mostly exhausted. You're left chasing momentum, frequently into an unfavorable risk-reward scenario. We saw a bit of this yesterday with $USDSEK around the 9.5093 mark, where early indicator signals might have looked appealing but the subsequent consolidation provided very little follow-through for a quick scalp.
I just don't see how they provide a sustainable edge when you're looking for quick entries and exits, especially compared to a more nuanced understanding of price action, support/resistance, and candlestick patterns. It feels like we're often trading the indicator itself rather than the market. Perhaps for swing trades or even daily charts, there's a different story, but for intraday, I'm increasingly skeptical. Change my mind.
I generally agree that lagging indicators can be problematic for intraday forex, especially when used for direct entry signals. However, do you think there's any value in using them for confirmation or as part of a larger confluence, rather than standalone? For example, using a daily MACD divergence to add conviction to a shorter timeframe setup?