Watching $ZARJPY at the top of its range
Noticing $ZARJPY pushing 9.95 today. It's at the very top of its daily range. If it can break and hold above 9.95, we could see a continued move towards 10.00. However, a strong rejection here could indicate a double top or just a failure to maintain momentum, bringing us back towards 9.87. My conviction is moderate on this, mostly observing for now.
The risk of invalidation for an upside move is a failure to close above 9.95 on the 4-hour, ideally on the daily. If it drops back below 9.90 with volume, then the bullish scenario for a breakout looks less likely.
Ah, the classic 'will it break or will it fake out?' scenario. Almost as thrilling as watching paint dry, but with the added bonus of potential financial loss. Good luck observing!