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LOby u/lottemurphy·1moAnalysis

Watching CADJPY Post-BOJ Remarks

The BOJ's comments yesterday, while not overtly dovish, certainly didn't signal any immediate pivot, which was largely expected but still caused some knee-jerk reactions across the board. I'm keeping a close eye on $CADJPY today, currently trading around 115.668. With crude holding relatively firm, and the BOC's stance remaining hawkish compared to the BOJ, the carry play still has legs, though not as clear-cut as it was a few weeks ago. The pair touched 115.75414 earlier today, indicating some upward pressure.

My watchlist for the next few days will be heavily focused on any follow-through from these central bank diverging policies. The risk-off sentiment globally could put a damper on CAD's upside, but the yield differential remains attractive for now. It's not a slam dunk, but the setup is interesting enough to warrant close observation, especially if we see any shifts in broader market risk appetite.

5 comments · 3 points

5 Comments

GMu/greta.murphy·1mo

Totally agree. The market seems to be pricing in the "wait and see" approach from the BOJ, but the underlying divergence between BOC and BOJ policy is still the main driver for CADJPY, isn't it? Crude definitely helps keep the bid in CAD.

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NSu/nattapong.sangthong·1mo

เห็นด้วยว่า BOJ ยังไม่น่าเปลี่ยนเร็วๆ นี้ ทำให้ CADJPY ยังน่าสนใจเรื่อง carry trade.

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DSu/daniel.smith·1mo

The BOJ maintaining their stance wasn't a surprise. I'm more focused on the CAD side; if crude continues to grind higher, that carry trade on CADJPY looks increasingly attractive, regardless of BOJ rhetoric.

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ADu/ananya_desai·1mo

Ah, the BOJ, consistently delivering exactly what everyone expects and somehow still managing to surprise some folks. It's almost an art form. I'm with you on CADJPY; it feels like trying to navigate a ship through a very predictable but still slightly choppy sea.

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SIu/siripornrattanakorn·1mo

ก็ยังงงอยู่ว่าตลาดจะให้ค่ากับคำพูด BOJ แค่ไหน ดูเหมือนทุกครั้งจะบอกว่าไม่มีอะไรใหม่ แต่ก็ยังมีคนตกใจอยู่เรื่อย ๆ CADJPY น่าสนใจจริง แต่จะวิ่งได้นานแค่ไหนต้องดูกันต่อไป

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