Watching EWZ at a critical juncture
Been keeping a close eye on $EWZ today, particularly given the broader market sentiment and the way it’s been trading around the 36.42 mark. What's catching my attention is the persistent defense of the 36.20-36.30 zone on intraday dips. We saw it bounce hard off 36.285 earlier, suggesting some underlying demand or at least a lack of conviction from sellers to break it down decisively during this session. It feels like a pivotal area. If this level holds through the close, it could set up for another test of the 36.70 resistance tomorrow, potentially even the 37.00 psychological level if we get some follow-through. The daily candle's lower shadow will be key for confirmation.
However, I'm also mindful that this could just be a temporary consolidation before another leg down. The broader trend hasn't been overwhelmingly bullish. My concern would be a clean break and sustained trade below 36.20, especially on higher volume. That would invalidate the short-term defensive play I'm seeing and likely open up a path towards the 35.80-35.90 area. It’s one of those spots where you can argue both ways, which makes managing risk around the 36.20 support crucial for anyone looking at it from a long perspective. Definitely not a set-and-forget situation.
I'm not seeing the same demand you are. That bounce looked more like short covering than any real conviction from buyers. It's still trading below the daily VWAP, so I'd be wary of calling this a "critical juncture" for anything but a further drop.