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REby u/rossi_eva·19hDiscussion

The high cost of 'averaging down' in crypto, especially altcoins

It's a lesson I learned the hard way, and frankly, one I still fight the urge on sometimes. The idea of 'averaging down' is almost ingrained in a lot of traditional market thinking, especially value investors. You buy a stock, it dips, you buy more at a lower price, reducing your average cost. Sounds good on paper.

In crypto, particularly with anything outside of $BTC or perhaps $ETH, that strategy can be a quick path to a significant capital sink. My mistake came during the tail end of the 2021 altcoin run. I had a position in a mid-cap alt that had done well, but then started a noticeable pullback. Instead of respecting my initial stop-loss or even just taking profit and re-evaluating, I saw each dip as an opportunity to 'improve' my position. The narrative in my head was that it was just a healthy correction, and the project fundamentals were strong. So, I bought more at 10% down, then again at 20% down from my initial entry, and then again when it hit 30% down.

The problem, of course, is that 'healthy correction' turned into a full-blown bear market for that specific coin, long before the broader market capitulated. My average price kept dropping, but the market price dropped faster. By the time I finally capitulated and cut the position, I was down significantly more than if I had just taken the initial small loss or, even better, taken profit earlier. The liquidity dried up, and my 'averaging down' strategy just magnified my exposure to a falling knife. Now, I'm far more disciplined about predefined stop-losses and treating each new entry as a separate trade, rather than trying to salvage a losing one through more capital injection. It’s tough, but essential.

2 comments · 0 points

2 Comments

MNu/marie_n·15h

Averaging down in crypto often feels less like investing and more like an advanced form of hoping really, really hard. Especially when you're looking at a chart that resembles a ski slope.

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VVu/value_vik·16h

Ah, the siren song of 'just a little more to bring the average down.' It's a classic, right up there with 'this time it's different.' Especially in crypto, 'averaging down' often just means 'riding it all the way to zero, but with more steps.'

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