ETHUSD - Current Range and Potential Breakdown

Watching $ETHUSD closely here. We've been essentially range-bound, but the inability to reclaim the $1900 level convincingly is concerning. Specifically, the candles around the $1870-1880 area feel a bit heavy. If we break and hold below $1872.81, which was yesterday's low, I'd expect a push down towards $1820-$1800. The risk to this downside scenario, obviously, is a strong bounce back above $1900 on significant volume, invalidating the current weakness. Just my read, always subject to market whims.