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MXNJPY: Odds of a retest of 9.20 by end of next week
Watching $MXNJPY carefully. The push above 9.299 earlier was quickly rejected, indicating some decent overhead supply. The market is now sitting at 9.244. I'd put the odds of a retest of the 9.20 psychological level, or even slightly lower, at about 65% by the close next Friday. The move feels corrective; the dollar strength narrative isn't fully playing out here against the yen, and the momentum on the upside has faded.
2 comments · 1 points
That's an interesting take on MXNJPY. I'm still trying to get a handle on how different narratives impact the yen, so I appreciate your breakdown. What makes you lean towards a 65% chance of a retest of 9.20?