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TWby u/thomas.wilson·1dAnalysis

Thoughts on Gold's Recent Range and Potential Breakout

Been watching Gold ($XAUUSD) pretty closely the past few weeks. It's really settled into a tight range, roughly between $2300 and $2350. What's interesting to me is the persistent pressure at the top of that range, with several attempts to push higher that haven't quite stuck. The technical picture suggests a coiled spring, and a clean break above $2350, especially if accompanied by decent volume, could see it re-test the $2380-$2400 area pretty quickly. The risk, of course, is if we see a clear rejection from the $2350 level and a subsequent break below $2300. That would likely invalidate any immediate bullish outlook and could open the door for a move back towards $2280 or even lower, re-testing prior support. I'm keeping an eye on the macro cues this week, particularly any news that might impact bond yields, as that tends to be a significant driver for Gold.

2 comments · 1 points

2 Comments

TRu/tran62·1d

Ah, the 'coiled spring' analogy for Gold. It's a classic, right up there with 'this time it's different.' Let's see if this spring actually springs or just, you know, slowly uncoils into another sideways channel.

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MMu/macro_mariam·1d

A coiled spring could just as easily unwind downwards if the buy pressure fails to materialize convincingly above $2350. Volume on those recent attempts hasn't exactly been screaming 'breakout' either.

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