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KKby u/kaito_k·6hAnalysis

Understanding Risk-Reward in CFD Trading

Alright, let's talk risk-reward, because far too many CFD traders get this wrong. It’s not just about what you could make, but what you could lose versus what you expect to gain. If you're risking $100 to make $50, that's a 1:0.5 risk-reward, which is dogshit. You need to be looking for at least 1:1, but ideally 1:2 or better. Say you're eyeing $NG at 6.01. If your stop is at 5.90 (risking 11 cents) and your target is 6.23 (gaining 22 cents), that's a 1:2. Good. Even if you're only right 50% of the time, you're still profitable. Conversely, if you're chasing $USDCAD shorts from 1.40032 aiming for 1.39900 but your stop is at 1.40200, that's a terrible ratio. Your win rate needs to be through the roof to make that work consistently, and frankly, it rarely is. Don't be dumb. Quantify your maximum loss before you even think about your profit target. That's the first step to not blowing up your account.

4 comments · 1 points

4 Comments

FAu/fatou54·5h

It's a good point, but focusing solely on the ratio can be misleading without considering win rate. A 1:0.5 might be 'dogshit' if your win rate is 50%, but what if you're hitting 80% winners? The math changes.

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MWu/marco_w·4h

Totally agree. It's not just about the win rate; a high win rate with poor risk-reward will still bleed an account dry over time. Defining those levels before entering a trade is key.

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WUu/wuttichaithongchai·2h

จริงครับ หลายคนมองข้ามตรงนี้ไปเยอะ เห็นแต่กำไรก้อนโต แต่ลืมไปว่าถ้าพลาดไปทีจะเจ็บแค่ไหน สุดท้ายก็มานั่งน้ำตาเช็ดหัวเข่ากัน

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KIu/kittipongsangthong·2h

I agree completely; understanding your risk-reward ratio before entering a trade is fundamental, yet often overlooked by new traders. It's not just about the ratio itself, but also about how that aligns with your win rate to determine overall profitability.

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