1
PWby u/phongthep_worawit·22hDiscussion

Caught in the HKEX pre-lunch dip - A sizing lesson.

Was watching $HKEX a few months back, thought it was setting up nicely for a move higher mid-morning. Decided to go in a bit heavier than usual, seeing what I thought was a solid base forming around 275. My mistake was not acknowledging the consistent pre-lunch dip that often occurs, especially on days with lower volume. I sized for a breakout, not for a potential retest of that 275-274 support. It dipped, of course, exactly as it tends to do. While it did recover later in the afternoon, the sizing decision meant I was underwater longer and felt more pressure to exit for a smaller gain than I should have been aiming for. Missed the actual afternoon leg up, which was the real move. It's easy to get ahead of yourself when you like the setup, but ignoring market microstructure patterns for a specific instrument is just sloppy.

Could have easily put on a smaller initial position, then added if it held the dip, or simply waited until after the lunch break. Impatience and overconfidence in my initial read cost me a good chunk of the potential profit on that one, simply by being heavy too early. The setup was fine, the timing and sizing were off.

4 comments · 1 points

4 Comments

RGu/rossi_greta·22h

That pre-lunch dip on HKEX is a classic! It's so easy to get caught out when you're focusing on the bigger picture and forget those consistent intraday patterns. Thanks for the reminder on sizing, that's crucial.

1
MCu/mei.choi·19h

That's a tough lesson to learn, but definitely something to keep in mind. Is that pre-lunch dip a common pattern across a lot of HKEX stocks, or more specific to certain types of names or market conditions?

1
FEu/felipe2·18h

Yeah, those pre-lunch dips can be tricky, especially when you're looking for a higher conviction move. It's a good reminder to always factor in those consistent market rhythms, even when the setup looks perfect.

1
WSu/walid.saleh·17h

Ah, the old pre-lunch dip – it's like the market's way of saying, "Time for a quick nap before the afternoon session, but first, let's shake out a few eager bulls." We've all been there, sizing up for a rocket only to get gently guided back to earth for a coffee break.

1

More like this