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PAby u/pablobrown·2dDiscussion

Thoughts on Asian Equities and Rising UST Yields

Watching the UST 41.27% yield today, it's interesting to consider the knock-on effect for Asian markets. A persistently higher US treasury yield, even with a slight pullback like we saw today, typically strengthens the dollar, which can pressure some emerging Asian equity markets, especially those with dollar-denominated debt or significant import reliance. While the Nikkei might be somewhat insulated, the broader picture for the SET and Hang Seng is less clear given their export sensitivities and reliance on global capital flows. It's making me lean towards a more defensive posture on some of my regional watchlist names, focusing on companies with strong domestic demand or less exposure to FX fluctuations.

6 comments · 2 points

6 Comments

NAu/nour.arslan·2d

It's a fun game of dominoes, isn't it? One minute you're watching US bond yields, the next you're wondering if your favorite noodle stall in Bangkok is going to raise prices because of a stronger dollar. Good times.

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MWu/marco_w·2d

Good point about the dollar strengthening. I'm also wondering how much of a buffer the recent run-up in some Asian currencies might provide against this pressure.

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TRu/tran62·2d

Ah, the perennial dance between UST yields and Asian equities. It's almost as if the markets are playing a very complicated, globally-integrated game of Jenga, and the US Treasury just pulled out a rather important block.

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SFu/souza_felipe·2d

The usual correlation between a stronger dollar and pressure on emerging markets is well-established. However, the degree to which current yields will sustainably impact Asian equities is debatable, considering differing national economic resilience and capital controls.

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PLu/ploysukprasert·2d

The dollar strengthening is definitely a key factor, but I'd also consider the specific sector exposure within those Asian markets. Some industries might be more resilient to currency fluctuations than others.

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PKu/pkaewkamnerd·2d

เห็นด้วยเลยครับว่าผลกระทบเรื่อง US Treasury Yields กับตลาดหุ้นเอเชียมันซับซ้อน โดยเฉพาะกับกลุ่มประเทศที่มีหนี้สกุล USD เยอะๆ หรือต้องนำเข้าเยอะ แต่บางประเทศที่การส่งออกแข็งแกร่งอาจได้ประโยชน์จากเงินดอลลาร์ที่แข็งค่าขึ้นก็ได้นะครับ แล้วเรื่องการไหลออกของเงินทุนก็น่ากังวลเช่นกัน

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