MATIC's Q1 Range Post-Halving Hype

Looking at $MATIC, the recent bounce around 0.2826 is interesting, but I'm not convinced it's got legs for a sustained push much higher this quarter. The broader market sentiment, combined with the post-halving hangover in some altcoins, suggests upside is capped. I'd give it maybe 35-40% odds of seeing a move above 0.35 before end of March, with a higher probability of it consolidating back into the 0.25-0.30 range. We just haven't seen enough fundamental news or sustained volume to warrant a strong breakout, feels more like short-covering.