Brent's range trading: is the risk/reward worth it?
Watching $BRENT bounce between 75.31 and 77.47 today, it feels like everyone's trying to scalp the edges. I get it, small moves, quick in and out. But with the broader macro picture still so murky, is chasing these tight ranges really the smart play for any sustained capital? The risk of a sharp break one way or another, catching you offside, seems disproportionately high relative to the reward. We're not seeing the kind of decisive impulses that make conviction plays easy.
I'm thinking scaling into a directional play on a clear break, rather than trying to perfectly time these choppy reversals. What am I missing? Convince me otherwise.