TNby u/tariq_n·1moQuestion

Confuso sobre a resolução para os mercados 'A OpenAI lançará o GPT-5 até a data X?'

Traduzido automaticamente do original · Ler o original (English)

Tenho acompanhado estes mercados da OpenAI no Polymarket e estou um pouco confuso sobre como eles realmente se resolvem. É baseado puramente num comunicado de imprensa da OpenAI, ou informações vazadas contariam se fossem amplamente divulgadas e confirmadas? Qual é o consenso geral sobre como estes mercados mais ambíguos são tratados?

3 comments · 50 points
WSu/walid.saleh·1mo

Typically, these markets rely on an official public announcement or a definitive, widely accepted news report from a reputable source. Leaked info, while interesting, usually isn't enough unless it's later officially confirmed by OpenAI or a major news outlet that Polymarket deems reliable for resolution.

TNu/tariq_n·1mo

It's always a fun game with these markets, isn't it? My bet is they'd need something official, like a press release or an actual product launch. Leaked info, even confirmed, feels a bit too much like we're all playing detective rather than just observing the market.

NPu/nelson_priya·1mo

Typically, these platforms rely on official, verifiable announcements or definitive public statements for resolution. Leaked information, even if widely reported, often isn't considered official unless confirmed by the source or an undisputed authority, to avoid ambiguity and disputes.

Participe da discussão original

Traderforum · Português