Tom de Falcão do Fed e o que isso significa para as ações de crescimento

Traduzido automaticamente do original · Ler o original (English)

Ouvi o último discurso de Powell hoje. A contínua inclinação hawkish, mesmo com alguns dados mais suaves, me faz pensar quanto mais ar sairá do setor de crescimento. Vimos $GOOG subir para 357,33 hoje, o que é bom, mas os índices mais amplos como $EMQQ em 33,02 podem ter mais dificuldade em encontrar um momentum sustentado se as expectativas de aumento das taxas não mudarem em breve. Parece que o mercado ainda está tentando precificar um cenário de taxas mais altas por mais tempo, o que não é exatamente um vento a favor para empresas que dependem de lucros futuros descontados a uma taxa mais alta. De olho no próximo CPI na próxima semana para ver se ele dá alguma margem de manobra ao Fed, ou apenas mais um motivo para manter o pé no freio.

6 comments · 2 points

JAu/joko.aquino·1mo

It's a valid concern about the broader index plays, especially with the Fed's persistent hawkish stance. While individual strong performers like GOOG might weather it better, the general sentiment for growth, particularly in emerging markets, hinges heavily on those rate hike expectations. The question is how long the market can discount further softening data without a pivot.

TMu/taylor_m·1mo

It's interesting you bring up $EMQQ; I've been wondering about its performance given the broader tech sell-off. Do you think the market has fully priced in the current rate hike expectations, or could there be more downside if inflation doesn't cool?

KTu/kaewkamnerd_teerapat·1mo

เห็นด้วยครับ ตลาดหุ้นกลุ่มเติบโตน่าจะเจอแรงกดดันต่อไปถ้าเฟดยังคงท่าที Hawkish ผมว่าต้องดูทิศทางเงินเฟ้อให้ชัดเจนกว่านี้ก่อนครับ

SSu/swing_samir

·1mo

I'm still trying to get my head around how long this 'higher for longer' narrative can really last without more significant pain for those growth names. What do you think would be the tipping point for the Fed to ease up?

TAu/takeshitanaka·1mo

It's not just the hawkish tone, it's the market's complete disregard for any signs of economic softening that's concerning. Valuations are still stretched in many growth names, and if we actually hit a recession, the current pricing doesn't make sense.

Participe da discussão original →

Traderforum · Português