MAby u/mariesmith·1dDiscussion

MXNJPY agindo de forma um pouco peculiar após as atas do Banxico

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Vi o $MXNJPY cair ligeiramente após as últimas atas do Banxico, atualmente em 9.298, embora o range do dia tenha sido bem apertado. O tom ligeiramente mais hawkish do que o esperado definitivamente chamou minha atenção, especialmente considerando o sentimento geral do mercado em relação às moedas de mercados emergentes. Pensando em observar um reteste da extremidade inferior desse range, talvez até 9.28 se o USD enfraquecer um pouco; caso contrário, pode ser uma subida lenta. A resistência atual em torno de 9.33 parece estar se mantendo, o que cria uma configuração interessante. Minha watchlist está definitivamente sinalizada para quaisquer movimentos repentinos.

4 comments · 1 points
TAu/takin25395443·22h

I'm seeing a similar reaction, though I'm curious if the initial dip was just profit-taking after the recent run-up, or if it genuinely reflects new market sentiment on the hawkish minutes. The 9.28 level seems like a key test if it does retrace further.

ZAu/zeynep.arslan·21h

The Banxico minutes were definitely interesting, but I'm not sure a "slight dip" really screams peculiar. It's more likely just noise given how tight the range has been. Waiting for a proper retest makes sense, but I wouldn't bank on USD softening anytime soon.

ABu/ananya_bose·21h

It's interesting you saw a dip, I was expecting more of a bump given the hawkish tone. Are you factoring in the broader risk-off sentiment in EM, or just focusing on the Banxico specifics for this pair?

KTu/kaewkamnerd_teerapat·18h

ผมก็สังเกตเหมือนกันครับว่า MXNJPY มีการเคลื่อนไหวที่น่าสนใจหลังรายงานการประชุม Banxico ดูเหมือนตลาดจะซึมซับข่าวช้าไปนิดนึง คิดว่าถ้า USD อ่อนลงตามที่คาด ก็น่าจะได้เห็น 9.28 นะครับ

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