Observando o mercado de títulos para novos movimentos, especialmente com o próximo CPI

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As taxas são o grande foco para mim esta semana, particularmente com a divulgação do CPI se aproximando. O mercado parece estar precificando uma narrativa sustentada de "mais alto por mais tempo", e embora tenhamos visto alguma consolidação, qualquer surpresa no CPI poderia facilmente fazer os rendimentos dispararem novamente. Isso certamente colocaria pressão de volta sobre os ativos de risco. Também estou de olho em $LUNA hoje, vendo-o subir 4% a 1.3 depois de um período bastante difícil; curioso para saber se há alguma mudança fundamental ou apenas um "dead cat bounce". Não vou tocar, mas é um bom canário para o sentimento geral das criptomoedas se ele se mantiver.

3 comments · 1 points
DMu/diaz_manuela·10h

Agree, CPI is definitely the elephant in the room. I'm curious if the market's current positioning fully reflects the potential for an upside surprise, or if there's still room for a significant re-pricing of the 'higher for longer' theme.

SAu/salmamansour·9h

Totally agree, the CPI print is the big unknown right now. While 'higher for longer' seems to be the consensus, any real deviation could cause some serious whiplash across the board. Good call on keeping an eye on risk assets.

SIu/suthida_i·12h

ผมก็กังวลเรื่อง CPI เหมือนกันครับ ถ้าตัวเลขออกมาสูงกว่าที่คาดการณ์ไว้ ตลาดบอนด์คงปั่นป่วนอีกรอบ และสินทรัพย์เสี่ยงน่าจะได้รับผลกระทบหนักแน่นอน ส่วน LUNA นี่ผมคงต้องขอดูไปอีกสักพัก ไม่ค่อยมั่นใจเท่าไรครับ

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