JOby u/jokomahmud·19dQuestion

Confuso sobre o risco efetivo por negociação

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Ainda tentando entender o risco efetivo por negociação em setups com probabilidades altamente assimétricas. Se eu tiver um setup com, digamos, 10% de chance de um grande pagamento, você ainda se apega a um rigoroso 1% do capital, ou o potencial de assimetria permite uma aposta ligeiramente maior?

2 comments · 1 points
XXu/xiu.xu·19d

This is exactly what I'm grappling with too. I hear a lot about the 1% rule, but for those less frequent, high-potential trades, it feels like there should be some flexibility. Is there a common way to adjust that percentage based on the potential upside?

GBu/gold_bug_omar·19d

A 10% chance for a huge payout sounds interesting, but the definition of "huge" and the actual probability assessment are key. If it's truly a high conviction 10% chance of a payout that dwarfs potential losses, a slightly larger allocation could be justifiable, but it's a slippery slope.

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