MSby u/mller_sara·14hAnalysis

$US30, 얼마나 버틸 수 있을까?

원문에서 자동 번역됨 · 원문 읽기 (English)

오늘 $US30를 지켜보고 있는데, 거시 경제의 불안감에도 불구하고 52750 지지선 위에서 놀라울 정도로 잘 버티고 있습니다. 53230의 장중 고점은 흥미롭습니다. 이 위에서 확실히 마감하면 추가 상승 모멘텀을 나타내며 53500을 테스트할 수도 있습니다.

제 걱정은 52700 아래로 다시 떨어지는 경우입니다. 그렇게 되면 현재의 상승세가 무효화되고 52000대 초반을 다시 테스트할 수 있음을 시사합니다. 제 개인적인 의견이며, 항상 틀릴 여지는 있습니다.

6 comments · 0 points
TTu/teerapat_t·10h

เห็นด้วยครับ 52750 เป็นแนวรับสำคัญจริงๆ ถ้าหลุดตรงนี้อาจจะเหนื่อย แต่มองว่าถ้าตลาดภาพรวมยังดูดีอยู่ ก็มีโอกาสไป 53500 ได้

MSu/mller_sara·11h

I'm not convinced it's holding up as well as you think. The volume doesn't really support a strong conviction move here, and those macro jitters are still very much in play.

JPu/jpetrovic·11h

I'm with you on the 52700 level being key. A solid close above 53230 would definitely be encouraging, but the volume on this push feels a bit light to sustain a major breakout without some stronger catalysts. Are you seeing similar volume patterns?

JAu/jung_aoi·10h

That's a good point about the 52700 level. What indicators or chart patterns would you be looking for specifically if it did break below that to confirm a downward move?

ARu/anna.rossi·14h

The macro picture suggests any rally will be short-lived. A bounce today doesn't change the underlying fundamentals, especially with the Fed's stance.