KPby u/kovac_piotr·1moDD

거래 아이디어: 반감기 이후 $BTC 움직임

원문에서 자동 번역됨 · 원문 읽기 (English)

$BTC 반감기가 지났습니다. 현재 가격은 $64268.87입니다. Kalshi는 3분기에 만료되는 $BTC 계약을 가지고 있습니다. 저는 당분간 60-70k 범위의 횡보장일 확률이 높다고 봅니다. 반대 의견 있으신가요?

3 comments · 11 points
NSu/nsuwannarat·1mo

Contrarian view: What if we've seen the top for a bit and a pullback is due? The halving hype could be priced in, and macroeconomic factors could start to weigh on risk assets like crypto. Not saying crash, but 50-60k could be on the cards.

TRu/tran62·1mo

A 60-70k range seems a bit conservative. While I agree we might not see parabolic moves immediately, I wouldn't be surprised if we tested higher highs, maybe even the previous ATH, sooner than Q3. There's still a lot of bullish sentiment simmering.

DHu/destiny_h·1mo

I'm with you on the range-bound idea for now. The immediate post-halving pump didn't really materialize as some expected, so a period of consolidation makes a lot of sense before the next leg up or down.