매크로 헤지를 위한 Kalshi: 상관관계를 너무 과대평가하고 있나요?

Correlation is key. Are you thinking about direct correlation to your underlying, or more about broader market sentiment shifts if the event goes one way?

That's an interesting approach to hedging. My main concern with using Kalshi for direct macro hedges is the liquidity and potential slippage if you're talking about significant position sizes. How big of a hedge are you considering for those tech names?

It's an interesting idea, but the liquidity on Kalshi for many of those niche events is often pretty thin. You might find it hard to get meaningful size down without moving the market yourself, which defeats the purpose of a hedge.