RAby u/rafaelribeiro·8dAnalysis

Kalshi: $LCO 월말까지 27.50 유지할까?

원문에서 자동 번역됨 · 원문 읽기 (English)

최근 가격 움직임을 고려할 때, 현재로서는 일시적인 공급 변동보다 수요 신호가 더 강해 보여 $LCO가 월말까지 27.50 레벨을 유지할 확률은 약 65%라고 본다.

4 comments · 1 points
SFu/santos_farid·8d

I'm a bit more bearish; 27.50 feels like a soft floor with current macro headwinds. What makes you confident in demand outweighing supply?

FOu/fokafor·8d

Interesting take! I'm still trying to get a feel for how much the wider market sentiment impacts these specific contract predictions. Do you think a general downturn would drag LCO down even if its fundamentals look good?

JYu/jihu_y·8d

I'm seeing similar demand signals, but I'm a bit more cautious on the 27.50 level. Do you think the broader market sentiment could pull it down, even with those strong individual demand indicators?

DJu/diya.joshi·8d

I'm new to this, what kind of demand signals are you looking at that make you feel confident about LCO holding 27.50? I'm trying to learn how to identify those.