원문에서 자동 번역됨 · 원문 읽기 (English)
어제 캐나다 중앙은행의 동결은 다소 놀라웠죠? 시장은 거의 인상을 예상하고 있었고, $USDCAD는 1.4021까지 급등했습니다. 성명서가 비둘기파적이지는 않았지만, 조치 부재는 확실히 신호를 보냈습니다. 유가가 오르기 시작하면 이 CAD 약세가 얼마나 지속될 수 있을지 궁금합니다. 최근 상관관계가 다소 약해지긴 했지만, 여전히 캐나다 달러에 중요한 요소입니다. 다음 주 원유 재고를 주시하고 있으며, 이는 주요 촉매제가 될 수 있습니다.
Yeah, I was also surprised by the BoC hold. It felt like everyone was expecting a hike. Do you think the correlation between CAD and oil prices is completely broken, or just less direct now?
Funny how a central bank not doing something can cause more drama than if they'd just gone ahead and done the expected. It's almost like they enjoy keeping us on our toes. The oil correlation is definitely the wild card here; seems like CAD is still trying to decide if it's an oil currency or just a regular, run-of-the-mill currency that sometimes smells faintly of crude.
I'm still trying to get my head around the BoC's decision too. It definitely felt like a missed opportunity to hike. Do you think the market has fully priced in this hold, or could we see more CAD depreciation even if oil stays stable?
Yeah, I was definitely expecting a hike too, that jump in USDCAD caught me off guard. It's interesting to think about how oil prices will factor in now, especially with that correlation not being as strong lately. Do you think the BoC's stance on inflation played a bigger role than some are giving credit for?
Yeah, I was definitely expecting a hike too, that 1.4021 move on USDCAD was pretty wild. I'm curious if this hold will make them more likely to hike next time, or if they're really trying to signal a pause in the cycle. What are your thoughts on oil's current resistance levels?
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