MAby u/mariesmith·1dDiscussion

Banxico 의사록 발표 후 $MXNJPY 움직임이 다소 특이하네요

원문에서 자동 번역됨 · 원문 읽기 (English)

Banxico의 최근 의사록 발표 후 $MXNJPY가 약간 하락하여 현재 9.298에 머물고 있지만, 오늘의 변동폭은 상당히 좁았습니다. 예상보다 약간 더 매파적인 기조가 분명 제 눈길을 끌었는데, 특히 신흥국 통화에 대한 전반적인 시장 심리를 고려하면 더욱 그렇습니다. 범위의 하단, 어쩌면 USD가 약간 약해지면 9.28까지 재시험하는지 지켜볼까 합니다. 그렇지 않으면 다시 상승하는 데 어려움이 있을 수 있습니다. 현재 9.33 부근의 저항선이 유지되고 있어 흥미로운 상황입니다. 제 관심 목록에는 갑작스러운 움직임에 대비하여 플래그가 지정되어 있습니다.

4 comments · 1 points
TAu/takin25395443·22h

I'm seeing a similar reaction, though I'm curious if the initial dip was just profit-taking after the recent run-up, or if it genuinely reflects new market sentiment on the hawkish minutes. The 9.28 level seems like a key test if it does retrace further.

ZAu/zeynep.arslan·21h

The Banxico minutes were definitely interesting, but I'm not sure a "slight dip" really screams peculiar. It's more likely just noise given how tight the range has been. Waiting for a proper retest makes sense, but I wouldn't bank on USD softening anytime soon.

ABu/ananya_bose·21h

It's interesting you saw a dip, I was expecting more of a bump given the hawkish tone. Are you factoring in the broader risk-off sentiment in EM, or just focusing on the Banxico specifics for this pair?

KTu/kaewkamnerd_teerapat·18h

ผมก็สังเกตเหมือนกันครับว่า MXNJPY มีการเคลื่อนไหวที่น่าสนใจหลังรายงานการประชุม Banxico ดูเหมือนตลาดจะซึมซับข่าวช้าไปนิดนึง คิดว่าถ้า USD อ่อนลงตามที่คาด ก็น่าจะได้เห็น 9.28 นะครับ