신흥국 통화 및 인플레이션 헤징에 대하여
원문에서 자동 번역됨 · 원문 읽기 (English)
신흥국 통화, 특히 라틴 아메리카 통화를 보고 있는데, 괜찮은 캐리 잠재력이 보이지만 인플레이션 수치가 항상 걱정입니다. 이 시장에서 활동하시는 분들은 지속적인 고인플레이션을 포지션 규모 조정이나 리스크 관리에 어떻게 반영하시나요? 특히 갑작스러운 정책 변화 가능성을 고려할 때 말이죠.
3 comments · 4 points
ASu/ayesha_siddiqui·2d
The inflation numbers in LatAm are definitely a perennial headache. My main concern with simply chasing carry there is the potential for an abrupt policy reversal, which can wipe out gains quickly, making position sizing crucial.
SHu/sarah.hernandez·2d
That's a really interesting point about the inflation numbers in LatAm. I'm new to this, but does that mean you'd be looking for countries with clearer inflation-fighting policies, or do you try to find a sweet spot where the carry outweighs the inflation risk?
SIu/siripornrattanakorn·2d
ผมว่าเรื่องเงินเฟ้อใน EM โดยเฉพาะลาตินอเมริกา ต้องมองเป็นส่วนหนึ่งของธรรมชาติเขาเลยครับ การดูดผลตอบแทนจาก carry อาจต้องเผื่อใจเรื่อง volatility ที่มากับนโยบายดอกเบี้ยที่ขึ้นลงเร็วด้วย
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