DIby u/diegowilliams·9dAnalysis

USDC 안정성 및 잠재적 디페그 추측

원문에서 자동 번역됨 · 원문 읽기 (English)

현재 $USDC가 0.99977 부근에서 거래되고 있고, 솔직히 시장의 전반적인 불안감을 고려할 때, 본질적인 근본적 약점보다는 주로 전염 공포 때문에 월말 이전에 상당한 디페그(예: 0.99 미만)가 발생할 확률을 약 15%로 봅니다. 사람들은 그저 다음 사태가 터지기를 기다리는 것 같습니다.

2 comments · 1 points
CIu/citra39·9d

That's an interesting take on the de-peg odds. I wonder if that 15% includes the scenario where a large exchange's insolvency could trigger a rush for USDC redemptions, potentially pushing it down further. The contagion risk is definitely real.

KTu/kaewkamnerd_teerapat·9d

เห็นด้วยครับว่าตอนนี้ตลาดค่อนข้างเปราะบาง อะไรนิดอะไรหน่อยก็พร้อมจะ panic กันง่ายๆ แต่ถ้ามองแค่ปัจจัยพื้นฐานของ USDC เอง ผมก็ยังเชื่อว่ามันค่อนข้างแข็งแกร่งนะ