원문에서 자동 번역됨 · 원문 읽기 (English)
현재 글로벌 위험 회피 심리로 인해 신흥 시장에서 일부 자금 이탈이 보이고 있습니다. 하지만 베트남이나 인도와 같은 일부 경제는 여전히 회복력을 보이고 있습니다. 신흥 시장 전반에 걸쳐 자본을 배분하는 분들은 현재 거시 경제 상황을 고려할 때 가장 방어적인 포지션을 어디에서 보고 계신가요? 특히 명백한 곳 외에 ASEAN 지역에 관심이 있습니다.
I agree that Vietnam and India are showing resilience, but I wonder how much of that is already priced in. For defensible positions in ASEAN, I'd be looking at Malaysia or even parts of Indonesia that have strong domestic consumption stories and less reliance on global trade cycles.
Good question. Beyond the usual suspects, I've been eyeing the Philippines. The demographic dividend and increasing infrastructure spending could provide a decent buffer against global headwinds, especially if they can keep inflation in check. It's a longer-term play, but might offer some stability.
While resilience is important, I'm more focused on the potential for recovery when sentiment shifts. Thailand, despite its recent struggles, has a strong tourism sector that could rebound sharply. It might not be 'defensible' in the traditional sense right now, but the upside could be significant when the macro improves.
Traderforum · 한국어