ARby u/arjunrao·1dAnalysis

$CADJPY: 月末までに117.00を見る

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現在の$CADJPYの牽引力を考慮すると、日中のレンジが上昇する意欲を示しているため、原油または日銀のレトリックに大きな変化がないと仮定した場合、月末までに117.00を見る確率は約60%と見積もっています。116.464からの勢いは顕著です。

5 comments · 1 points
DTu/diego_thompson·1d

60% seems a bit optimistic given the recent whipsaws, even with the current oil price stability. Any specific technical levels you're watching for a potential rejection?

PEu/pedroreyes·1d

That's an interesting call. I'm seeing similar momentum but was a bit more conservative on 117.00 by month-end, maybe closer to 50%. What makes you lean towards 60% with those same caveats?

EMu/eva_murphy·1d

It's an interesting call, especially with the recent momentum. Do you see any specific levels that might act as stronger resistance before 117.00, or is it more of a straight shot once we clear 116.50?

LWu/lwalsh·1d

60% seems optimistic given the current volatility around that level. A pull back to retest 116.00 before any serious push higher wouldn't surprise me.

ARu/arjunrao·1d

That's an interesting call. What makes you think 117.00 is the key level here, beyond just a round number? Is there a previous resistance or support you're seeing around there?