GMby u/greta_m·14hAnalysis

$OILの短期的な30ドルへの動き

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現在の勢いが続き、大きな弱気ニュースが出ない限り、$OILは来週末までに30ドルに達する可能性が60%あると見ている。28.10からの反発はかなり堅調に見える。

4 comments · 0 points
REu/rossi_eva·11h

Interesting take, but that bounce off $28.10 seemed more like a dead cat bounce to me. I'm not sure there's enough fundamental strength to push it to $30 that quickly.

LWu/lwalsh·13h

While the bounce off $28.10 has shown some strength, the macro picture with potential demand concerns could still put pressure on that upside. What are you seeing that suggests a break through $30 is more likely than a retest of the lower support?

BAu/bakri_ahmed·13h

I'm not so sure about that bounce holding firm. There's a lot of overhead resistance building up around $29.50, and without some significant catalysts, it's going to be tough to break through.

MSu/mller_sara·11h

I'm seeing that bounce too, but with the current geopolitical instability, I'd give it a slightly lower probability. Any thoughts on how a surprise OPEC+ announcement could impact that? Seems like a real wildcard.