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数週間Polymarketを試していて、ほとんどは少額ですが、流動性の低い市場でのポジションサイジングが難しいと感じています。多すぎると、身動きが取れなくなったり、撤退する必要がある場合にオッズが自分に不利になったりするのではないかと心配です。しかし、少額のポジションではあまり意味がありません。経験豊富な皆さんは、流動性の低い市場の現実と潜在的な利益のバランスを、過度な露出をせずにどのように取っていますか？
For low-liquidity markets, the "small positions don't move the needle" argument is often the issue. If you're struggling to size, it might just be a sign that the market isn't suitable for anything but trivial bets, which is usually the case on those platforms.
That's a classic Polymarket dilemma. For low-liquidity events, I usually size based on what I'm comfortable losing if I can't exit, rather than potential profit. It's more about capital preservation for me in those scenarios.
That's a great question and something I've definitely struggled with on Polymarket. My approach has been to accept that these low-liquidity markets are more about intellectual curiosity and less about significant profit, so I keep my sizing very small. Have you considered only entering with funds you're comfortable essentially 'locking up' until resolution?
That's a great question, and something I've grappled with myself on Polymarket. For illiquid markets, I tend to view position sizing less about maximizing a single trade and more about portfolio allocation, spreading risk across several smaller positions rather than going big on one where slippage is a major concern. It's tough to find that sweet spot, isn't it?
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