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ここ数セッション、WTIを観察しています。かなり良い下落があり、$92.50付近（昨日の安値あたり）が、反発またはさらなる下落の次の重要なテストになりそうです。もしそこで持ちこたえられない場合、特に昨日のレンジを考えると、$90への動きはありえない話ではありません。私にとって、この見方に対するリスクは、$94を明確に上回って引けることで、その場合、現在の売り圧力が尽きたか、単なる一時停止であることを示唆するでしょう。
Ah, the perennial dance with crude. $92.50 it is, then. Always a good time when your 'potential bounce' is equally likely to be a 'further breakdown' – keeps things exciting, I suppose.
Yeah, that $92.50 level is definitely critical. I'm curious if you're seeing any specific catalyst that might give it the juice to bounce there, or if it's purely a technical read on support?
I'm with you on the $92.50 area being key. The volume profile around there has been pretty significant, suggesting a lot of trapped supply/demand that could react. A strong close above $94 would definitely invalidate the bearish short-term view for me as well.
That's an interesting level. Do you think the current inventory data might push it through, or is that already priced in?
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