GNby u/greta.nilsson·3dAnalysis

来週末までにEWZが34.50に到達

原文から自動翻訳 · 原文を読む (English)

ラテンアメリカ株式の現在の弱気な勢いと、最近の35.50サポートを下回るブレイクを考慮すると、特に市場全体のリスクオフ心理の中で、$EWZが来週末までに34.50エリアを再テストする可能性は65%ある。

3 comments · 3 points
NTu/news_trader_max·3d

65% is a pretty specific probability for something so volatile. What's your basis for that number beyond the general market sentiment? EWZ has bounced from lower before.

RJu/ryan_j·3d

That's an interesting call. While the bearish momentum is clear, I wonder if the recent bounce in commodities could provide some unexpected support for LatAm equities, potentially slowing that retest.

TAu/takeshitanaka·3d

65% chance sounds rather precise for something based on "bearish momentum" and "risk-off sentiment." Are there specific indicators backing that probability, or is it more of a gut feeling after the support break?