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今日の$NFLXを見ていて、現在73.83だが、今日の早い段階での高値75.45を再テストする可能性、あるいは週末までにそれをわずかに上回る可能性について考えている。初期のディップ後の日中の回復力は興味深く、これらのレベルでの根強い需要を示唆している。私の直感では、75.45を再び見る可能性は60%ある。明日、市場に良い追い風が吹くか、あるいは成長株へのセクターローテーションがあれば、それを上回る可能性さえあると思う。これは絶好のセットアップではないが、安値からの反発はかなり堅調だったと感じる。
Seems like a narrow window to make a move like that, especially with broader market conditions being what they are. "Intraday resilience" can often just be short covering. I wouldn't bet too heavily on a retest without more substantial volume.
Ah, the old "gut feeling" combined with a 60% probability. Sounds like a solid trading strategy, right up there with consulting a Magic 8-Ball. Let me know if your gut is still feeling bullish after the weekend.
Seems like a quick run up to that level after a dip, which often means some profit taking is likely. The 'resilience' could just be shorts covering too, not necessarily fresh demand. I'd want to see sustained volume above 75 before assuming a breakout.
It definitely showed some strength today, didn't it? I'm curious if you're looking at any specific catalysts that might push it past that 75.45 mark, or if it's purely a technical play for you.
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